You think Trump’s presidential chances are slim? Well…

Photo: Anthony Moretti 18July2016

Photo: Anthony Moretti 18July2016

U.S. News reports that while Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has an easier path to win the White House, there’s opportunity for Donald Trump to pull off an upset.

“The race in Nevada is still tight, but the momentum has swung toward Trump,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

Carrying Iowa and Nevada would place Trump at 265 electoral votes to Clinton’s 264.

In this scenario, it would all come down to Colorado – a state that remains structurally inclined toward Clinton but where Trump is showing some initial signs of a comeback.

An Emerson College poll out Thursday showed Trump overtaking Clinton 42 percent to 38 percent – a lead just outside the margin of error – after other polls this summer showed Clinton ahead by double digits.

If Trump upsets Clinton in Colorado, it puts him at 274 electoral votes to her 264. (A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to clinch the presidency.)

But if he drops any of the three – Iowa, Nevada or Colorado – he’s doomed.

On the other hand, a surprise Trump victory to net Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes would negate the need for wins in the trio. That would get Trump to 273 electoral votes.

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This entry was posted in 2016 presidential election, democracy, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, political analysis, politics, polls, voters. Bookmark the permalink.

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